Wednesday, April 18, 2012

Good Argument and Bad Argument

The first quarter of the year has just passed, the hot topic during tea break in the office revolve around the revised salary and comparison with other companies.

I was having Tea with another two colleagues from different departments one day, and there's a small part of conversation that fits into this title.

A: I think our company is facing some financial constraint this year.

Me: And why do you say that?

A: I've no idea, I just think so.

B: Anyhow, i think so too! Do you know that the average bonus payout in our department this year is only about 2.0? And also, I heard that there's circular about VSS(Voluntarily Separation Scheme) offered for the top management.

Me: But it still doesn't mean that the company is not doing well. As far as i know, the company's forecast group believed that the company should retain more cash for liquidity purpose, but also at the mean time, the quarterly statistics shows that our products are selling quite well! In fact the revenue generated has increased 18% more than last year's profit.

- The conversation above, contains both good and bad arguments.

First, we talk about the bad argument - A.
A mentioned that he thought that the company is facing problem, but he cannot provide his supporting statement. And he also mentioned that that's just merely his feelings/opinion.
Hence, this is a bad argument.

While B, what he said is a good and bad argument.
He has provided 2 supporting statement for his believe.
By using rhetorical question as premise, he told us the fact that his department  payout an average bonus of 2.0(months), and he uses the word only to stress that the number is very low.
His 2nd supporting statement, is however not a fact but just his belief. He belief that what he heard about the VSS offered to the top management is true, but we are not able to prove its validity. Hence this is a weak invalid argument.

What i have responded, which is a rejection of the main claim that the company is not doing well, is a good argument.
I have provided 2 supporting statement. Both of them are facts.
The first fact i provided is that the forecast group advices the company to retain more cash for liquidity purpose; hence the company did not utilize the money for bonus payout.
2nd fact i provided with evidence, where the quarterly report shows that our products are selling well, hence there's no way that the company is not doing well.
In this case, my argument is a Valid Strong Argument.

- Conclusion of my argument is that, the company is not doing not well.

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